Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Spiders @ Ramblers RICH @ LUC

RICHMOND

SPIDERSRICH

15-13  |  Road

66
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 4:00 PM ET
Gentile Arena
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

6-22  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
0%
📊
RAMBLERS
100%
SPIDERS --
RAMBLERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
RICHMOND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Richmond)
SpidersRICH (-3.5) 0 RamblersLUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spiders Cover

96.4%

Ramblers Cover

3.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RICH -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICH)

RICH By 1-7 points

10.7%

RICH By 8-14 points

21.6%

LUC By 1-7 points

2.7%

LUC By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
82
RICHMOND
64
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
70
RICHMOND
73
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Spiders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ramblers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Spiders (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Ramblers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 11, 2026 LUC @ RICH 75 - 67
Feb 28, 2026 RICH @ LUC 66 - 69
Feb 11, 2025 LUC @ RICH 87 - 80
Jan 9, 2024 RICH @ LUC 58 - 56
Feb 11, 2023 LUC @ RICH 71 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +11.9% more
Richmond: 5.5 vs Loyola Chicago: 4.9
Free Throw % (L5) +10.7%
Richmond: 74.7% vs Loyola Chicago: 64.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.9%
Richmond: 38.3% vs Loyola Chicago: 31.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
Richmond: 45.8% vs Loyola Chicago: 39.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RICH Score 82.0 66
LUC Score 64.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 38.3 31.0 / 25.0
Assists 13.8 / 13.7 16.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.5 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.5 / 45.8 50.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 64.0 / 74.7 67.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 31.7 / 29.6 38.0 / 25.0
Steals 4.9 / 5.5 3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 8.2 16.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +0.8
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
RICH
LUC
RICH
ML
55% 18-15
53% 17-15
50% 16-16
56% 18-14
ATS
64% 21-12
44% 14-18
50% 16-16
56% 18-14
TTL
76% 25-8
56% 18-14
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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