Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Falcons @ Cowboys AF @ WYO

AIR FORCE

FALCONSAF

3-25  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 4:00 PM ET
Arena-Auditorium
View Odds Details →

WYOMING

COWBOYSWYO

15-13  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
FALCONS
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
FALCONS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wyoming)
FalconsAF (-3.5) 0 CowboysWYO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Falcons Cover

46.0%

Cowboys Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WYO -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)

AF By 1-7 points

24.3%

AF By 8-14 points

13.7%

WYO By 1-7 points

26.2%

WYO By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
68
AIR FORCE
69
WYOMING
Simulated Score
68
AIR FORCE
72
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+21.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 AF @ WYO 62 - 66
Dec 30, 2025 WYO @ AF 68 - 56
Feb 18, 2025 AF @ WYO 62 - 69
Jan 4, 2025 WYO @ AF 70 - 65
Mar 5, 2024 AF @ WYO 63 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +62.1% more
Wyoming: 7.4 vs Air Force: 4.6
Blocks (L5) +11.4% more
Wyoming: 2.2 vs Air Force: 2.0
Free Throw % (L5) +7.7%
Wyoming: 76.7% vs Air Force: 69.0%
Turnovers (L5) +32.2% more
Air Force: 13.5 vs Wyoming: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AF Score 68.0 62
WYO Score 69.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 34.5 25.0 / 44.0
Assists 13.7 / 14.6 10.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.2 / 2.0 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 44.2 35.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 69.0 81.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 29.6 / 29.8 39.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.4 / 4.6 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 13.5 8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AF
3-29-0 (9.4%)
Margin: -18.3 ATS +/-: -4.9
WYO Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AF
10-21-1 (32.3%)
Margin: -18.3 ATS +/-: -4.9
WYO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
AF
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +0.2
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
AF
WYO
AF
ML
52% 17-16
81% 26-6
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
ATS
64% 21-12
69% 22-10
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
TTL
64% 21-12
69% 22-10
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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