FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
16-12 | Road
63
VCU
RAMSVCU
21-7 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
RAMS
100%
RAMS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VCU +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
FOR By 1-7 points
27.2%
FOR By 8-14 points
20.1%
VCU By 1-7 points
21.6%
VCU By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Fordham
61
FORDHAM
VCU
58
VCU
Simulated Score
Fordham
65
FORDHAM
VCU
72
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rams
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
FOR @ VCU
63 - 82
Feb 3, 2026
VCU @ FOR
63 - 59
Jan 8, 2025
FOR @ VCU
61 - 73
Mar 13, 2024
FOR @ VCU
62 - 69
Feb 6, 2024
VCU @ FOR
75 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Fordham: 44.2%
vs
VCU: 42.7%
Blocks (L5)
+114.6% more
VCU: 4.7
vs
Fordham: 2.2
Rebounding (L5)
+11.5% more
VCU: 38.9
vs
Fordham: 34.9
Assists (L5)
+9.7% more
VCU: 13.4
vs
Fordham: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FOR Score
61.0
63
VCU Score
58.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 28.3
38.0 / 31.0
Assists
13.4 / 12.2
19.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.7 / 2.2
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 44.2
48.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
74.1 / 65.9
65.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
38.9 / 34.9
43.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.2 / 8.6
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 11.6
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
VCU
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
FOR
VCU
FOR
ML
72%
26-10
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
59%
19-13
ATS
81%
29-7
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
59%
19-13
TTL
58%
21-15
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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