SAINT JOSEPH'S
HAWKSJOES
18-10 | Road
61
RHODE ISLAND
RAMSURI
15-13 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
RAMS
0%
HAWKS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Rhode Island)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)
JOES By 1-7 points
24.3%
JOES By 8-14 points
13.7%
URI By 1-7 points
26.2%
URI By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Joseph's
70
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Rhode Island
71
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
Saint Joseph's
70
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Rhode Island
75
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
JOES @ URI
61 - 55
Mar 5, 2025
URI @ JOES
74 - 91
Jan 3, 2024
JOES @ URI
74 - 78
Feb 1, 2023
URI @ JOES
50 - 64
Mar 5, 2022
URI @ JOES
60 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+50.5% more
Rhode Island: 12.0
vs
Saint Joseph's: 8.0
Steals (L5)
+28.3% more
Rhode Island: 6.7
vs
Saint Joseph's: 5.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
Rhode Island: 74.6%
vs
Saint Joseph's: 70.6%
Assists (L5)
+27.7% more
Saint Joseph's: 17.0
vs
Rhode Island: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JOES Score
70.0
61
URI Score
71.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 34.3
18.0 / 14.0
Assists
12.3 / 17.0
12.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.9
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
40.5 / 45.3
27.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 70.6
71.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 34.6
46.0 / 45.0
Steals
6.7 / 5.2
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 8.0
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOES
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
URI
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOES
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
URI
13-18-1
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
JOES
URI
JOES
ML
62%
20-12
51%
18-17
59%
19-13
61%
20-13
ATS
56%
18-14
60%
21-14
59%
19-13
61%
20-13
TTL
56%
18-14
54%
19-16
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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