WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
19-9 | Road
90
WASHINGTON
HUSKIESWASH
14-14 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BADGERS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
BADGERS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WASH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)
WIS By 1-7 points
23.0%
WIS By 8-14 points
12.2%
WASH By 1-7 points
26.8%
WASH By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Wisconsin
80
WISCONSIN
Washington
82
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Wisconsin
65
WISCONSIN
Washington
70
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
WASH @ WIS
82 - 85
Feb 28, 2026
WIS @ WASH
90 - 73
Feb 25, 2025
WASH @ WIS
62 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.7% more
Washington: 3.4
vs
Wisconsin: 2.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Washington: 49.7%
vs
Wisconsin: 43.1%
Assists (L5)
+21.0% more
Wisconsin: 15.9
vs
Washington: 12.6
Rebounding (L5)
+8.9% more
Wisconsin: 34.2
vs
Washington: 31.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIS Score
80.0
90
WASH Score
82.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 35.4
22.0 / 45.0
Assists
12.6 / 15.9
11.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.6
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 43.1
46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 77.6
69.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 34.2
35.0 / 39.0
Steals
4.8 / 4.9
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 9.4
9.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
WASH
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIS
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
WIS
WASH
WIS
ML
45%
15-18
60%
21-14
66%
21-11
69%
24-11
ATS
48%
16-17
51%
18-17
66%
21-11
69%
24-11
TTL
70%
23-10
57%
20-15
100%
32-0
100%
35-0
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