Home / NHL Projections NHL / Oilers @ Sharks EDM @ SJ

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

29-23-8  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 4:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

27-25-4  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Shakir Mukhamadullin
GOALTENDER

Shakir Mukhamadullin

#85 | Defense
@
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Shakir Mukhamadullin None-None -- -- --
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 4.01 0.833 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 4.01
-- Save % 0.833
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
SHARKS
100%
OILERS --
SHARKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 SharksSJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

93.3%

Sharks Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

12.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

SJ By 1 goal

2.8%

SJ By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
5
EDMONTON
2
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
5
EDMONTON
2
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Oilers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u7.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 EDM @ SJ 5 - 2
Mar 17, 2026 SJ @ EDM 3 - 5
Feb 28, 2026 EDM @ SJ 4 - 5
Jan 29, 2026 SJ @ EDM 3 - 4
Apr 16, 2025 EDM @ SJ 3 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +30.2% more
Edmonton: 36.9 vs San Jose: 25.7
Power Play % (L5) +12.0%
Edmonton: 20.8% vs San Jose: 8.8%
Faceoff % (L5) +9.8%
Edmonton: 54.1% vs San Jose: 44.3%
Hits (L5) +78.2% more
San Jose: 26.7 vs Edmonton: 15.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 5.0 4
SJ Score 2.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
94%MONEY6%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
96%MONEY4%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
EDM
SJ
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
yahoo 19 hours, 27 minutes ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 1 hour ago
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
yahoo 2 days, 19 hours ago
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
yahoo 2 days, 19 hours ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 6 hours ago