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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

24-27-6  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 7:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

23-21-14  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
@
Anton Forsberg
GOALTENDER

Anton Forsberg

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dustin Wolf None-None 1.02 0.972 --
Anton Forsberg None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.02 GAA Ldr 0.00
0.972 Save % Ldr 1.000
-- SO Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
FLAMES --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

30.9%

Kings Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

CGY By 1 goal

19.7%

CGY By 2-3 goals

29.6%

LA By 1 goal

12.1%

LA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
CALGARY
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
CALGARY
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 16, 2026 LA @ CGY 1 - 3
Mar 24, 2026 LA @ CGY 2 - 3
Feb 28, 2026 CGY @ LA 0 - 2
Dec 13, 2025 CGY @ LA 2 - 1
Apr 17, 2025 CGY @ LA 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +17.9%
Calgary: 34.3% vs Los Angeles: 16.5%
Shots on Goal (L5) +9.6% more
Calgary: 29.6 vs Los Angeles: 26.7
Takeaways (L5) +13.6% more
Los Angeles: 4.4 vs Calgary: 3.9
Hits (L5) +11.0% more
Los Angeles: 20.8 vs Calgary: 18.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 3.0 0
LA Score 2.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
53%MONEY47%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
CGY
LA
CGY
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
TTL
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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