SOUTH CAROLINA
GAMECOCKSSC
12-16 | Road
68
GEORGIA
BULLDOGSUGA
19-9 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
GAMECOCKS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UGA +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)
SC By 1-7 points
21.6%
SC By 8-14 points
27.4%
UGA By 1-7 points
9.3%
UGA By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina
78
SOUTH CAROLINA
Georgia
67
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
South Carolina
65
SOUTH CAROLINA
Georgia
78
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Gamecocks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
SC @ UGA
68 - 87
Jan 10, 2026
UGA @ SC
75 - 70
Mar 4, 2025
UGA @ SC
73 - 64
Jan 28, 2025
SC @ UGA
60 - 71
Feb 3, 2024
SC @ UGA
72 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.7% more
South Carolina: 9.5
vs
Georgia: 8.0
Steals (L5)
+8.3% more
South Carolina: 6.4
vs
Georgia: 5.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
South Carolina: 79.2%
vs
Georgia: 76.3%
Blocks (L5)
+52.3% more
Georgia: 3.9
vs
South Carolina: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SC Score
78.0
68
UGA Score
67.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.0 / 30.6
40.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.1 / 12.1
23.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.6
8.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 41.9
56.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
76.3 / 79.2
85.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
30.0 / 29.5
28.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.8 / 6.4
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.0 / 9.5
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
UGA
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
UGA
Advantage
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +1.6
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
SC
UGA
SC
ML
67%
22-11
72%
23-9
56%
18-14
68%
21-10
ATS
61%
20-13
69%
22-10
56%
18-14
68%
21-10
TTL
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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