NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
24-4 | Road
82
USC
TROJANSUSC
18-10 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
CORNHUSKERS
100%
TROJANS
0%
CORNHUSKERS
--
TROJANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
USC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (USC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USC -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USC)
NEB By 1-7 points
16.9%
NEB By 8-14 points
6.8%
USC By 1-7 points
26.8%
USC By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Nebraska
70
NEBRASKA
USC
76
USC
Simulated Score
Nebraska
72
NEBRASKA
USC
75
USC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trojans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trojans
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trojans (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Trojans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
NEB @ USC
82 - 67
Jan 22, 2025
USC @ NEB
78 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+93.1% more
USC: 5.3
vs
Nebraska: 2.8
Turnovers (L5)
+30.3% more
USC: 12.9
vs
Nebraska: 9.9
Assists (L5)
+28.7% more
Nebraska: 17.8
vs
USC: 12.7
Steals (L5)
+16.7% more
Nebraska: 7.6
vs
USC: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NEB Score
70.0
82
USC Score
76.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 35.0
19.0 / 35.0
Assists
12.7 / 17.8
17.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.3 / 2.8
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.1 / 45.4
45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 76.2
94.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 33.6
25.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.3 / 7.6
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 9.9
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
USC
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
USC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
USC
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USC
NEB
USC
NEB
ML
52%
16-15
51%
18-17
58%
18-13
62%
21-13
ATS
68%
21-10
54%
19-16
58%
18-13
62%
21-13
TTL
68%
21-10
63%
22-13
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
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