Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bisons @ Colonels LIP @ EKU

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

18-12  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 4:00 PM ET
Baptist Health Arena
View Odds Details →

EASTERN KENTUCKY

COLONELSEKU

11-19  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
0%
📊
COLONELS
100%
BISONS --
COLONELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 ColonelsEKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

34.5%

Colonels Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EKU +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EKU)

LIP By 1-7 points

27.4%

LIP By 8-14 points

21.6%

EKU By 1-7 points

20.1%

EKU By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
77
LIPSCOMB
73
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
73
LIPSCOMB
78
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bisons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Colonels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Colonels (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Colonels (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 LIP @ EKU 80 - 77
Feb 11, 2026 EKU @ LIP 61 - 75
Feb 18, 2025 LIP @ EKU 57 - 66
Jan 30, 2025 EKU @ LIP 80 - 71
Mar 1, 2024 EKU @ LIP 67 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +8.4% more
Lipscomb: 16.6 vs Eastern Kentucky: 15.2
Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Lipscomb: 49.1% vs Eastern Kentucky: 45.5%
Steals (L5) +52.6% more
Eastern Kentucky: 7.7 vs Lipscomb: 5.1
Blocks (L5) +35.9% more
Eastern Kentucky: 3.6 vs Lipscomb: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 77.0 80
EKU Score 73.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.6 / 32.3 42.0 / 33.0
Assists 15.2 / 16.6 20.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.6 / 2.6 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 49.1 42.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 71.0 86.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 34.9 42.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.7 / 5.1 2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 10.8 13.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
EKU
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
EKU
10-19-1 (34.5%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EKU
LIP
EKU
LIP
ML
44% 14-18
71% 22-9
69% 22-10
66% 19-10
ATS
56% 18-14
71% 22-9
69% 22-10
66% 19-10
TTL
53% 17-15
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
ACC Commissioner Jim Phillips Shrugs Off Realignment Buzz, Decla…
observer_reporter 1 day, 23 hours ago
John Calipari Clarifies Stance on Player Compensation After Vira…
sportingnews 5 days, 19 hours ago
Calipari Drops Stunner: Nine Arkansas Players Outearn Assistant …
yahoo 6 days, 23 hours ago
Georgia's Ground Game Shakeup: Bowens, Phillips Ready to Step Up…
si 2 weeks ago
Iowa State Guard Tamin Lipsey Wins Eligibility Battle, Set to Re…
si 2 weeks ago