NORTHERN COLORADO
BEARSUNCO
18-11 | Road
76
IDAHO
VANDALSIDHO
16-13 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
VANDALS
0%
BEARS
--
VANDALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
IDAHO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Idaho)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IDHO -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDHO)
UNCO By 1-7 points
4.8%
UNCO By 8-14 points
1.1%
IDHO By 1-7 points
15.3%
IDHO By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Colorado
69
NORTHERN COLORADO
Idaho
84
IDAHO
Simulated Score
Northern Colorado
68
NORTHERN COLORADO
Idaho
72
IDAHO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vandals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vandals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vandals (-2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Vandals (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u155.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
UNCO @ IDHO
76 - 67
Jan 29, 2026
IDHO @ UNCO
83 - 91
Feb 22, 2025
IDHO @ UNCO
74 - 92
Jan 23, 2025
UNCO @ IDHO
76 - 77
Feb 22, 2024
IDHO @ UNCO
62 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.2% more
Idaho: 5.1
vs
Northern Colorado: 3.9
Rebounding (L5)
+20.4% more
Idaho: 39.9
vs
Northern Colorado: 33.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.3%
Idaho: 45.0%
vs
Northern Colorado: 29.7%
Blocks (L5)
+30.5% more
Northern Colorado: 4.4
vs
Idaho: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNCO Score
69.0
76
IDHO Score
84.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
45.0 / 29.7
21.0 / 45.0
Assists
14.3 / 15.3
11.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.1 / 4.4
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 50.8
34.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
67.5 / 73.8
68.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
39.9 / 33.1
43.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.1 / 3.9
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 10.6
6.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCO
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: +0.5
IDHO
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCO
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: +0.5
IDHO
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.7
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDHO
UNCO
IDHO
UNCO
ML
56%
20-16
50%
16-16
64%
21-12
66%
21-11
ATS
58%
21-15
53%
17-15
64%
21-12
66%
21-11
TTL
69%
25-11
50%
16-16
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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