AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
HUSKIES
0%
PIRATES
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (UConn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)
HALL By 1-7 points
24.3%
HALL By 8-14 points
13.7%
CONN By 1-7 points
26.2%
CONN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Seton Hall
67
SETON HALL
UConn
68
UCONN
Simulated Score
Seton Hall
72
SETON HALL
UConn
78
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o130.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u130.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
HALL @ CONN
67 - 71
Jan 13, 2026
CONN @ HALL
69 - 64
Mar 8, 2025
HALL @ CONN
50 - 81
Feb 15, 2025
CONN @ HALL
68 - 69
Mar 3, 2024
HALL @ CONN
61 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+80.8% more
UConn: 19.8
vs
Seton Hall: 11.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.8%
UConn: 75.2%
vs
Seton Hall: 66.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
UConn: 33.4%
vs
Seton Hall: 24.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
UConn: 49.3%
vs
Seton Hall: 42.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HALL Score
67.0
67
CONN Score
68.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 24.7
43.0 / 50.0
Assists
19.8 / 11.0
17.0 / 13.0
Blocks
6.8 / 7.2
3.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 42.1
46.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
75.2 / 66.5
69.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 34.6
30.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.2 / 9.4
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 12.7
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HALL
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
CONN
Advantage
34-6-0
(85.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HALL
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
CONN
18-22-0
(45.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5%
Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
HALL
CONN
HALL
ML
76%
29-9
41%
13-19
66%
23-12
60%
18-12
ATS
74%
28-10
50%
16-16
66%
23-12
60%
18-12
TTL
50%
19-19
53%
17-15
100%
35-0
100%
30-0