NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

33-21-5  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 6:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
View Odds Details →

COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

29-21-7  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
@
Jet Greaves
GOALTENDER

Jet Greaves

#73 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ilya Sorokin None-None 2.91 0.900 --
Jet Greaves None-None 3.88 0.852 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.91 Ldr GAA 3.88
0.900 Ldr Save % 0.852
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
BLUE JACKETS
0%
ISLANDERS --
BLUE JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Columbus)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 Blue JacketsCBJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

6.7%

Blue Jackets Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)

NYI By 1 goal

2.8%

NYI By 2-3 goals

1.2%

CBJ By 1 goal

12.1%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
4
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
3
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Jackets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blue Jackets (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Islanders (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 CBJ @ NYI 0 - 1
Feb 28, 2026 NYI @ CBJ 4 - 3
Dec 28, 2025 NYI @ CBJ 2 - 4
Nov 2, 2025 CBJ @ NYI 2 - 3
Apr 17, 2025 NYI @ CBJ 1 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +44.6% more
Columbus: 5.9 vs New York: 4.1
Power Play % (L5) +10.6%
Columbus: 14.2% vs New York: 3.6%
Hits (L5) +15.1% more
New York: 23.1 vs Columbus: 19.6
Faceoff % (L5) +2.5%
New York: 57.9% vs Columbus: 55.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 1.0 4
CBJ Score 4.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
63%MONEY37%