Home / NHL Projections NHL / Wild @ Mammoth MIN @ UTA

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

35-14-10  |  Road

2
FINAL
Fri, Feb 27 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

30-24-4  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Jesper Wallstedt
GOALTENDER

Jesper Wallstedt

#30 | Goaltender
@
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jesper Wallstedt None-None 5.00 0.865 --
Karel Vejmelka None-None 2.00 0.913 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.00 GAA Ldr 2.00
0.865 Save % Ldr 0.913
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
📊
MAMMOTH
0%
WILD --
MAMMOTH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
WildMIN (-3.5) 0 MammothUTA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wild Cover

30.9%

Mammoth Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)

MIN By 1 goal

12.1%

MIN By 2-3 goals

9.3%

UTA By 1 goal

19.7%

UTA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MINNESOTA
4
UTAH
Simulated Score
2
MINNESOTA
4
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mammoth Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mammoth Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mammoth (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Mammoth (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 UTA @ MIN 0 - 5
Feb 27, 2026 MIN @ UTA 2 - 5
Oct 25, 2025 UTA @ MIN 6 - 2
Feb 27, 2025 MIN @ UTA 1 - 6
Jan 23, 2025 UTA @ MIN 4 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +5.8%
Utah: 50.4% vs Minnesota: 44.7%
Shots on Goal (L5) +29.8% more
Minnesota: 32.0 vs Utah: 22.4
Power Play % (L5) +19.0%
Minnesota: 43.5% vs Utah: 24.4%
Blocked Shots (L5) +17.4% more
Minnesota: 15.0 vs Utah: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.0 2
UTA Score 4.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
65%MONEY35%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
MIN
UTA
MIN
ML
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
ATS
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
TTL
60% 3-2
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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