NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
EAGLESNCCU
10-16 | Road
74
DELAWARE STATE
HORNETSDSU
6-20 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
HORNETS
100%
EAGLES
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (North Carolina Central)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NCCU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCCU)
NCCU By 1-7 points
20.1%
NCCU By 8-14 points
27.2%
DSU By 1-7 points
8.0%
DSU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
North Carolina Central
74
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Delaware State
62
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
North Carolina Central
72
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Delaware State
68
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Eagles (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
DSU @ NCCU
53 - 59
Feb 28, 2026
NCCU @ DSU
74 - 60
Feb 9, 2026
DSU @ NCCU
63 - 72
Mar 13, 2025
NCCU @ DSU
79 - 77
Feb 24, 2025
NCCU @ DSU
84 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.5% more
North Carolina Central: 3.0
vs
Delaware State: 1.8
Assists (L5)
+13.0% more
North Carolina Central: 11.9
vs
Delaware State: 10.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
North Carolina Central: 45.8%
vs
Delaware State: 39.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
North Carolina Central: 30.6%
vs
Delaware State: 24.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score
74.0
74
DSU Score
62.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.6 / 30.6
35.0 / 56.0
Assists
10.4 / 11.9
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
1.8 / 3.0
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.4 / 45.8
43.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
67.5 / 62.7
50.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
28.4 / 30.0
35.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.2
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 12.8
16.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCCU
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -1.9
DSU
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCCU
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -1.9
DSU
9-17-0
(34.6%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: +2.1
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1%
Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
NCCU
DSU
NCCU
ML
60%
18-12
65%
20-11
75%
18-6
81%
22-5
ATS
60%
18-12
71%
22-9
72%
18-7
81%
22-5
TTL
57%
17-13
55%
17-14
100%
25-0
100%
27-0
Contextual Game News
SDSU's Nick Anderson Making Speedy Recovery from ACL Surgery, Ey…
Houston Cougars Survive Georgia Southern Scare: Offensive Firepo…
Nuggets Eye Ryan Nembhard as Potential Two-Way Steal if Hornets …
DeVonta Smith's Star Turn Lifts Eagles Over Titans in Thrilling …
Southern Miss Adds Sharpshooter Elliot Tulip to Bolster Perimete…