Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Celtics BKN @ BOS

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

15-43  |  Road

111
FINAL
Fri, Feb 27 • 7:30 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

38-20  |  Home

148
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
CELTICS
0%
NETS --
CELTICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
246.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Boston)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 CelticsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

42.1%

Celtics Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BKN By 1-7 points

23.0%

BKN By 8-14 points

12.2%

BOS By 1-7 points

26.8%

BOS By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
122
BROOKLYN
124
BOSTON
Simulated Score
108
BROOKLYN
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Celtics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Celtics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Celtics (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Celtics (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o208.5 Win
Proj Total: 246.0
D
Sim u208.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 BKN @ BOS 111 - 148
Jan 23, 2026 BOS @ BKN 130 - 126
Nov 21, 2025 BKN @ BOS 113 - 105
Nov 18, 2025 BOS @ BKN 113 - 99
Mar 18, 2025 BKN @ BOS 96 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +133.1% more
Boston: 6.7 vs Brooklyn: 2.9
Rebounding (L5) +28.9% more
Boston: 51.8 vs Brooklyn: 40.2
Free Throw % (L5) +3.7%
Boston: 81.1% vs Brooklyn: 77.3%
Steals (L5) +36.5% more
Brooklyn: 8.1 vs Boston: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 122.0 111
BOS Score 124.0 148
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.9 / 35.6 65.0 / 41.0
Assists 24.1 / 26.5 38.0 / 29.0
Blocks 6.7 / 2.9 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 45.4 67.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 81.1 / 77.3 81.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 51.8 / 40.2 39.0 / 25.0
Steals 5.1 / 8.1 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 14.5 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
BOS Advantage
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
BKN
BOS
BKN
ML
57% 61-46
53% 50-45
53% 47-41
59% 48-34
ATS
59% 61-43-3
52% 48-44-3
53% 47-41
59% 48-34
TTL
56% 60-47
57% 54-41
100% 88-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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