CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
37-23 | Road
119
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
43-14 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
PISTONS
0%
CAVALIERS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CLE By 1-7 points
4.0%
CLE By 8-14 points
0.8%
DET By 1-7 points
13.7%
DET By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
113
CLEVELAND
Detroit
129
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
102
CLEVELAND
Detroit
115
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (-7)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o227.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim
u227.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 17, 2026
CLE @ DET
125 - 94
May 15, 2026
DET @ CLE
115 - 94
May 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
117 - 113
May 11, 2026
DET @ CLE
103 - 112
May 9, 2026
DET @ CLE
109 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+114.0% more
Detroit: 8.6
vs
Cleveland: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+20.3% more
Detroit: 15.4
vs
Cleveland: 12.8
Rebounding (L5)
+13.1% more
Detroit: 50.1
vs
Cleveland: 44.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.8%
Detroit: 77.5%
vs
Cleveland: 75.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
113.0
119
DET Score
129.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 35.1
22.0 / 37.0
Assists
27.2 / 26.6
26.0 / 32.0
Blocks
8.6 / 4.0
6.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 48.0
46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 75.7
73.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
50.1 / 44.3
56.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.4 / 8.8
14.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 12.8
16.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
55%
64-53
60%
69-46
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
67%
75-37-3
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
59%
68-47
100%
96-0
100%
99-0
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