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BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

33-19-6  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Feb 27 • 7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

30-25-3  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Alex Lyon
GOALTENDER

Alex Lyon

#34 | Goaltender
@
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Alex Lyon None-None 2.00 0.966 --
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 GAA --
0.966 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
SABRES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida)
SabresBUF (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sabres Cover

30.9%

Panthers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

BUF By 1 goal

12.1%

BUF By 2-3 goals

9.3%

FLA By 1 goal

19.7%

FLA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
BUFFALO
3
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
2
BUFFALO
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 BUF @ FLA 3 - 2
Feb 2, 2026 BUF @ FLA 5 - 3
Jan 12, 2026 FLA @ BUF 4 - 3
Oct 18, 2025 FLA @ BUF 0 - 3
Apr 12, 2025 BUF @ FLA 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +14.7% more
Florida: 21.1 vs Buffalo: 18.4
Shots on Goal (L5) +13.6% more
Florida: 30.9 vs Buffalo: 27.2
Faceoff % (L5) +2.4%
Florida: 50.5% vs Buffalo: 48.1%
Takeaways (L5) +20.0% more
Buffalo: 4.8 vs Florida: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 2.0 3
FLA Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
61%MONEY39%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
BUF
FLA
BUF
ML
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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