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MANHATTAN

JASPERSMAN

12-17  |  Road

65
FINAL
Fri, Feb 27 • 7:00 PM ET
Yanitelli Center
View Odds Details →

SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

15-11  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
JASPERS
0%
📊
PEACOCKS
100%
JASPERS --
PEACOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SAINT PETER'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
JaspersMAN (-3.5) 0 PeacocksSPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaspers Cover

46.0%

Peacocks Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SPU +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SPU)

MAN By 1-7 points

26.2%

MAN By 8-14 points

16.9%

SPU By 1-7 points

24.3%

SPU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
80
MANHATTAN
79
SAINT PETER'S
Simulated Score
62
MANHATTAN
68
SAINT PETER'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jaspers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Peacocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Peacocks (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Peacocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 MAN @ SPU 65 - 75
Feb 5, 2026 SPU @ MAN 80 - 75
Feb 8, 2025 SPU @ MAN 83 - 84
Dec 6, 2024 MAN @ SPU 70 - 67
Mar 3, 2024 MAN @ SPU 57 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +11.6% more
Manhattan: 12.4 vs Saint Peter's: 10.9
Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Manhattan: 44.6% vs Saint Peter's: 41.1%
Blocks (L5) +133.6% more
Saint Peter's: 3.6 vs Manhattan: 1.5
Steals (L5) +30.0% more
Saint Peter's: 9.0 vs Manhattan: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MAN Score 80.0 65
SPU Score 79.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.8 / 34.0 45.0 / 19.0
Assists 10.9 / 12.4 18.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.6 / 1.5 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 44.6 48.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 76.0 / 76.7 62.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 32.1 / 31.7 40.0 / 31.0
Steals 9.0 / 6.9 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 9.9 12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
SPU Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
11-19-1 (36.7%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
SPU Advantage
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +2.4
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SPU
MAN
SPU
MAN
ML
64% 18-10
52% 16-15
71% 20-8
68% 21-10
ATS
71% 20-8
52% 16-15
71% 20-8
69% 22-10
TTL
61% 17-11
77% 24-7
100% 28-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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