RIDER
BRONCSRID
4-23 | Road
58
IONA
GAELSIONA
16-13 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCS
100%
GAELS
0%
BRONCS
--
GAELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Iona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IONA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)
RID By 1-7 points
18.6%
RID By 8-14 points
8.0%
IONA By 1-7 points
27.2%
IONA By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Rider
75
RIDER
Iona
80
IONA
Simulated Score
Rider
68
RIDER
Iona
75
IONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gaels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gaels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gaels (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Gaels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
RID @ IONA
58 - 80
Jan 14, 2026
IONA @ RID
68 - 72
Feb 14, 2025
RID @ IONA
74 - 71
Jan 23, 2025
IONA @ RID
73 - 67
Feb 23, 2024
IONA @ RID
75 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+42.2% more
Iona: 11.9
vs
Rider: 8.4
Assists (L5)
+22.6% more
Iona: 13.4
vs
Rider: 10.9
Rebounding (L5)
+22.6% more
Iona: 38.2
vs
Rider: 31.2
Blocks (L5)
+8.7% more
Iona: 3.6
vs
Rider: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RID Score
75.0
58
IONA Score
80.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 31.5
46.0 / 17.0
Assists
13.4 / 10.9
15.0 / 4.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.4
1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 41.0
48.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 70.6
71.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 31.2
43.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.1 / 8.6
7.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 8.4
17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
IONA
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
IONA
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IONA
RID
IONA
RID
ML
41%
13-19
72%
21-8
62%
20-12
66%
19-10
ATS
53%
17-15
72%
21-8
62%
20-12
66%
19-10
TTL
66%
21-11
62%
18-11
100%
32-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career