AKRON
ZIPSAKR
23-5 | Road
92
KENT STATE
GOLDEN FLASHESKENT
21-7 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
ZIPS
0%
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
ZIPS
--
GOLDEN FLASHES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AKR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
AKR By 1-7 points
27.4%
AKR By 8-14 points
21.6%
KENT By 1-7 points
20.1%
KENT By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Akron
81
AKRON
Kent State
77
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
Akron
68
AKRON
Kent State
75
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Flashes
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Zips (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Golden Flashes (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u165.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u165.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
KENT @ AKR
68 - 75
Feb 27, 2026
AKR @ KENT
92 - 70
Jan 30, 2026
KENT @ AKR
52 - 69
Feb 28, 2025
KENT @ AKR
72 - 77
Jan 31, 2025
AKR @ KENT
85 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.4% more
Akron: 17.0
vs
Kent State: 13.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.3%
Akron: 80.5%
vs
Kent State: 73.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Akron: 49.0%
vs
Kent State: 43.6%
Blocks (L5)
+51.5% more
Kent State: 2.9
vs
Akron: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AKR Score
81.0
92
KENT Score
77.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 37.5
41.0 / 50.0
Assists
13.7 / 17.0
17.0 / 20.0
Blocks
2.9 / 1.9
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 49.0
43.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 80.5
45.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
37.9 / 38.3
27.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.8 / 6.8
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 12.1
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
KENT
24-10-0
(70.6%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AKR
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
KENT
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
AKR
KENT
AKR
ML
53%
18-16
71%
24-10
65%
22-12
65%
22-12
ATS
65%
22-12
76%
26-8
65%
22-12
65%
22-12
TTL
44%
15-19
59%
20-14
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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