DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
11-13 | Road
71
PENNSYLVANIA
QUAKERSPENN
13-11 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
0%
QUAKERS
100%
BIG GREEN
--
QUAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
PENNSYLVANIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PENN +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PENN)
DART By 1-7 points
27.2%
DART By 8-14 points
23.0%
PENN By 1-7 points
18.6%
PENN By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Dartmouth
72
DARTMOUTH
Pennsylvania
67
PENNSYLVANIA
Simulated Score
Dartmouth
65
DARTMOUTH
Pennsylvania
72
PENNSYLVANIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Big Green
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Quakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Quakers (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Quakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
DART @ PENN
71 - 80
Jan 17, 2026
PENN @ DART
84 - 74
Feb 21, 2025
DART @ PENN
75 - 88
Jan 11, 2025
PENN @ DART
70 - 73
Feb 23, 2024
PENN @ DART
82 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+21.7% more
Dartmouth: 11.9
vs
Pennsylvania: 9.3
Blocks (L5)
+20.3% more
Dartmouth: 3.4
vs
Pennsylvania: 2.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.6%
Dartmouth: 85.4%
vs
Pennsylvania: 68.8%
Steals (L5)
+55.5% more
Pennsylvania: 7.3
vs
Dartmouth: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DART Score
72.0
71
PENN Score
67.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 32.6
38.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.4 / 13.5
12.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.4
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 41.8
43.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 85.4
59.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 31.0
44.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.3 / 4.7
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 11.9
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
Advantage
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
PENN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
Advantage
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
PENN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
PENN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PENN
DART
PENN
DART
ML
53%
16-14
62%
16-10
76%
22-7
50%
13-13
ATS
63%
19-11
65%
17-9
76%
22-7
50%
13-13
TTL
70%
21-9
88%
23-3
100%
29-0
100%
26-0
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