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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

23-26-8  |  Road

4
FINAL
Fri, Feb 27 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

31-23-3  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Connor Hellebuyck
GOALTENDER

Connor Hellebuyck

#37 | Goaltender
@
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Connor Hellebuyck None-None 4.68 0.875 --
Lukas Dostal None-None 3.70 0.879 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.68 GAA Ldr 3.70
0.875 Save % Ldr 0.879
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
JETS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Anaheim)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

2.3%

Ducks Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

WPG By 1 goal

0.9%

WPG By 2-3 goals

0.3%

ANA By 1 goal

6.6%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
WINNIPEG
5
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
4
WINNIPEG
2
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ducks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ducks (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Jets (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 ANA @ WPG 4 - 1
Feb 27, 2026 WPG @ ANA 4 - 5
Nov 9, 2025 WPG @ ANA 1 - 4
Apr 16, 2025 ANA @ WPG 1 - 2
Jan 2, 2025 ANA @ WPG 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +115.0% more
Anaheim: 5.9 vs Winnipeg: 2.7
Blocked Shots (L5) +8.5% more
Anaheim: 14.6 vs Winnipeg: 13.5
Hits (L5) +8.3% more
Anaheim: 22.5 vs Winnipeg: 20.8
Power Play % (L5) +3.9%
Anaheim: 21.5% vs Winnipeg: 17.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 1.0 4
ANA Score 5.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
65%MONEY35%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
WPG
ANA
WPG
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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