QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
18-11 | Road
76
NIAGARA
PURPLE EAGLESNIA
7-21 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
PURPLE EAGLES
100%
BOBCATS
--
PURPLE EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
NIAGARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NIA +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NIA)
QUIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
QUIN By 8-14 points
23.0%
NIA By 1-7 points
18.6%
NIA By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Quinnipiac
72
QUINNIPIAC
Niagara
67
NIAGARA
Simulated Score
Quinnipiac
71
QUINNIPIAC
Niagara
78
NIAGARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Purple Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Purple Eagles (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Purple Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
QUIN @ NIA
76 - 78
Feb 7, 2026
NIA @ QUIN
55 - 56
Feb 8, 2025
NIA @ QUIN
76 - 75
Feb 18, 2024
NIA @ QUIN
80 - 66
Dec 3, 2023
QUIN @ NIA
75 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+62.9% more
Quinnipiac: 4.3
vs
Niagara: 1.6
Rebounding (L5)
+27.9% more
Quinnipiac: 38.1
vs
Niagara: 27.5
Assists (L5)
+40.2% more
Niagara: 15.0
vs
Quinnipiac: 10.7
Turnovers (L5)
+25.7% more
Niagara: 14.1
vs
Quinnipiac: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score
72.0
76
NIA Score
67.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 27.4
33.0 / 27.0
Assists
15.0 / 10.7
19.0 / 14.0
Blocks
1.6 / 4.3
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 39.4
48.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
69.9 / 63.4
67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
27.5 / 38.1
37.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.7 / 6.2
3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 11.2
10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
NIA
8-22-0
(26.7%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
NIA
Advantage
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
NIA
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIA
QUIN
NIA
QUIN
ML
55%
16-13
66%
21-11
72%
21-8
53%
17-15
ATS
69%
20-9
59%
19-13
72%
21-8
53%
17-15
TTL
55%
16-13
62%
20-12
100%
29-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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