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MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

34-14-10  |  Road

5
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 9:00 PM ET
Ball Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

38-9-9  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Filip Gustavsson
GOALTENDER

Filip Gustavsson

#32 | Goaltender
@
Mackenzie Blackwood
GOALTENDER

Mackenzie Blackwood

#39 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Filip Gustavsson None-None 1.02 0.978 --
Mackenzie Blackwood None-None 3.16 0.912 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.02 Ldr GAA 3.16
0.978 Ldr Save % 0.912
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
0%
📊
AVALANCHE
100%
WILD --
AVALANCHE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
WildMIN (-3.5) 0 AvalancheCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wild Cover

84.1%

Avalanche Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1 goal

17.5%

MIN By 2-3 goals

37.2%

COL By 1 goal

6.6%

COL By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MINNESOTA
1
COLORADO
Simulated Score
3
MINNESOTA
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wild Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Avalanche Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wild (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Avalanche (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 13, 2026 MIN @ COL 3 - 4
May 11, 2026 COL @ MIN 5 - 2
May 9, 2026 COL @ MIN 1 - 5
May 5, 2026 MIN @ COL 2 - 5
May 3, 2026 MIN @ COL 6 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +42.9%
Minnesota: 43.5% vs Colorado: 0.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +34.5% more
Minnesota: 15.0 vs Colorado: 9.8
Hits (L5) +17.3% more
Minnesota: 20.1 vs Colorado: 16.6
Takeaways (L5) +59.3% more
Colorado: 5.6 vs Minnesota: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.0 5
COL Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
88%MONEY12%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
MIN
COL
MIN
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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