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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

28-23-8  |  Road

8
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 10:30 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

23-20-14  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jake Walman
GOALTENDER

Jake Walman

#96 | Defense
@
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Walman None-None -- -- --
Darcy Kuemper None-None 8.95 0.733 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 8.95
-- Save % 0.733
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
OILERS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

93.3%

Kings Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

12.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

LA By 1 goal

2.8%

LA By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4
EDMONTON
1
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
EDMONTON
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Oilers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 11, 2026 EDM @ LA 0 - 1
Feb 26, 2026 EDM @ LA 8 - 1
Jan 10, 2026 LA @ EDM 4 - 3
May 1, 2025 LA @ EDM 4 - 6
Apr 29, 2025 EDM @ LA 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +27.5% more
Edmonton: 36.9 vs Los Angeles: 26.7
Faceoff % (L5) +8.8%
Edmonton: 54.1% vs Los Angeles: 45.3%
Power Play % (L5) +4.3%
Edmonton: 20.8% vs Los Angeles: 16.5%
Blocked Shots (L5) +32.8% more
Los Angeles: 14.7 vs Edmonton: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 4.0 8
LA Score 1.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
92%MONEY8%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
EDM
LA
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
100% 3-0
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
TTL
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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