Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rattlers @ Jaguars FAMU @ SOU

FLORIDA A&M

RATTLERSFAMU

11-15  |  Road

82
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 8:30 PM ET
F.G. Clark Activity Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN

JAGUARSSOU

13-14  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
RATTLERS
0%
📊
JAGUARS
100%
RATTLERS --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RattlersFAMU (-3.5) 0 JaguarsSOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rattlers Cover

46.0%

Jaguars Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SOU +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SOU)

FAMU By 1-7 points

26.2%

FAMU By 8-14 points

16.9%

SOU By 1-7 points

24.3%

SOU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
79
FLORIDA A&M
78
SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
63
FLORIDA A&M
76
SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rattlers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaguars Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jaguars (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Jaguars (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 SOU @ FAMU 73 - 70
Feb 26, 2026 FAMU @ SOU 82 - 71
Jan 10, 2026 SOU @ FAMU 59 - 67
Mar 3, 2025 SOU @ FAMU 73 - 70
Jan 11, 2025 FAMU @ SOU 57 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +12.5% more
Florida A&M: 37.3 vs Southern: 32.7
Blocks (L5) +45.0% more
Southern: 3.2 vs Florida A&M: 2.2
Steals (L5) +37.8% more
Southern: 8.8 vs Florida A&M: 6.4
Assists (L5) +20.3% more
Southern: 16.2 vs Florida A&M: 13.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score 79.0 82
SOU Score 78.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.4 / 33.0 36.0 / 35.0
Assists 16.2 / 13.5 16.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.2 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 44.3 37.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 68.8 64.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 37.3 27.0 / 40.0
Steals 8.8 / 6.4 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 13.8 7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
8%MONEY92%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
SOU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
SOU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -1.7
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SOU
FAMU
SOU
FAMU
ML
67% 22-11
55% 16-13
70% 21-9
71% 17-7
ATS
64% 21-12
48% 14-15
70% 21-9
71% 17-7
TTL
42% 14-19
76% 22-7
100% 30-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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