PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
28-31 | Road
121
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
24-35 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
BULLS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
POR By 1-7 points
21.6%
POR By 8-14 points
10.7%
CHI By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
119
PORTLAND
Chicago
122
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Portland
105
PORTLAND
Chicago
116
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o234.5
Loss
Proj Total: 241.0
D
Sim
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
POR @ CHI
121 - 112
Nov 19, 2025
CHI @ POR
122 - 121
Apr 4, 2025
POR @ CHI
113 - 118
Jan 19, 2025
CHI @ POR
102 - 113
Mar 18, 2024
POR @ CHI
107 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.9%
Chicago: 79.7%
vs
Portland: 69.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Chicago: 37.1%
vs
Portland: 35.4%
Blocks (L5)
+30.5% more
Portland: 6.2
vs
Chicago: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+12.8% more
Portland: 25.9
vs
Chicago: 22.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
119.0
121
CHI Score
122.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 35.4
30.0 / 22.0
Assists
22.6 / 25.9
29.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.3 / 6.2
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 46.4
50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 69.8
77.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
40.7 / 45.3
41.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.7 / 8.7
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
19.5 / 18.8
22.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
POR
CHI
POR
ML
56%
54-42
53%
56-49
57%
46-35
55%
49-40
ATS
65%
62-33-1
62%
65-39-1
57%
46-35
55%
49-40
TTL
58%
56-40
56%
58-46-1
100%
81-0
100%
89-0
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