MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
36-23 | Road
94
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
27-30 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
MIN By 1-7 points
18.6%
MIN By 8-14 points
8.0%
LAC By 1-7 points
27.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
104
MINNESOTA
LA
109
LA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
110
MINNESOTA
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+8)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u220.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim
u220.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
MIN @ LAC
128 - 153
Feb 26, 2026
MIN @ LAC
94 - 88
Feb 8, 2026
LAC @ MIN
115 - 96
Dec 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 109
Jan 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.0%
LA: 82.7%
vs
Minnesota: 71.7%
Turnovers (L5)
+24.8% more
Minnesota: 17.3
vs
LA: 13.0
Blocks (L5)
+14.5% more
Minnesota: 7.5
vs
LA: 6.4
Steals (L5)
+14.1% more
Minnesota: 10.4
vs
LA: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
104.0
94
LAC Score
109.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 39.6
23.0 / 31.0
Assists
22.3 / 25.5
21.0 / 23.0
Blocks
6.4 / 7.5
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 50.5
41.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
82.7 / 71.7
79.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
41.7 / 43.1
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.9 / 10.4
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 17.3
19.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
MIN
LAC
MIN
ML
60%
59-40
54%
63-53
55%
45-37
54%
50-43
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
67-49
55%
45-37
54%
50-43
TTL
59%
58-40-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
82-0
100%
93-0
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