Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ Jazz NO @ UTAH

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

17-42  |  Road

129
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

18-40  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
100%
📊
JAZZ
0%
PELICANS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Utah)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

13.6%

Jazz Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

NO By 1-7 points

9.3%

NO By 8-14 points

2.7%

UTAH By 1-7 points

21.6%

UTAH By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
110
NEW ORLEANS
121
UTAH
Simulated Score
107
NEW ORLEANS
118
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jazz Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jazz (+6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u245.0 Loss
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim u245.0 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 7, 2026 UTAH @ NO 137 - 156
Feb 28, 2026 NO @ UTAH 115 - 105
Feb 26, 2026 NO @ UTAH 129 - 118
Mar 2, 2025 NO @ UTAH 128 - 121
Jan 20, 2025 UTAH @ NO 119 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +51.4% more
Utah: 13.1 vs New Orleans: 8.6
Turnovers (L5) +15.0% more
Utah: 17.0 vs New Orleans: 14.8
Assists (L5) +13.8% more
Utah: 27.0 vs New Orleans: 23.7
Blocks (L5) +44.9% more
New Orleans: 6.8 vs Utah: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 110.0 129
UTAH Score 121.0 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.5 / 33.3 32.0 / 38.0
Assists 27.0 / 23.7 28.0 / 37.0
Blocks 3.8 / 6.8 6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 47.6 50.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 75.5 / 75.0 64.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 43.7 / 46.5 37.0 / 40.0
Steals 13.1 / 8.6 14.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 17.0 / 14.8 18.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
40%MONEY60%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO Advantage
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
NO
UTAH
NO
ML
60% 96-63
62% 98-61
48% 40-43
58% 48-35
ATS
68% 108-51
68% 107-51-1
48% 40-43
58% 48-35
TTL
75% 119-39-1
75% 119-40
100% 83-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 2 hours, 25 minutes ago
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
si 8 hours, 5 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 8 hours, 16 minutes ago
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
si 14 hours, 32 minutes ago
Kentucky's Pro Day Showcases Depth, Cutting Edge, and Standout P…
messenger_inquirer 20 hours, 32 minutes ago