Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chargers @ Seahawks NHVN @ WAG

NEW HAVEN

CHARGERSNHVN

13-16  |  Road

62
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Spiro Sports Center
View Odds Details →

WAGNER

SEAHAWKSWAG

11-16  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
CHARGERS
100%
📊
SEAHAWKS
0%
CHARGERS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WAGNER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wagner)
ChargersNHVN (-3.5) 0 SeahawksWAG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chargers Cover

46.0%

Seahawks Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WAG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAG)

NHVN By 1-7 points

24.3%

NHVN By 8-14 points

13.7%

WAG By 1-7 points

26.2%

WAG By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
70
NEW HAVEN
71
WAGNER
Simulated Score
60
NEW HAVEN
80
WAGNER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seahawks (+2) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o131.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u131.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 NHVN @ WAG 62 - 65
Jan 17, 2026 WAG @ NHVN 74 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +70.6% more
Wagner: 14.2 vs New Haven: 8.3
Rebounding (L5) +42.2% more
Wagner: 38.0 vs New Haven: 26.7
Blocks (L5) +34.3% more
Wagner: 2.7 vs New Haven: 2.0
Free Throw % (L5) +10.6%
Wagner: 73.5% vs New Haven: 62.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NHVN Score 70.0 62
WAG Score 71.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 34.8 36.0 / 22.0
Assists 10.0 / 11.3 11.0 / 6.0
Blocks 2.7 / 2.0 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.2 / 47.6 40.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 73.5 / 62.9 86.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 38.0 / 26.7 38.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.3 / 6.7 4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 8.3 8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
26%MONEY74%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NHVN
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
WAG
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NHVN
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
WAG Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -3.5
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +4.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAG
NHVN
WAG
NHVN
ML
63% 19-11
71% 22-9
57% 17-13
68% 21-10
ATS
60% 18-12
74% 23-8
57% 17-13
68% 21-10
TTL
53% 16-14
42% 13-18
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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