Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Black Bears @ Great Danes ME @ UALB

MAINE

BLACK BEARSME

7-21  |  Road

70
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 6:30 PM ET
Broadview Center
View Odds Details →

UALBANY

GREAT DANESUALB

10-18  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
100%
📊
GREAT DANES
0%
BLACK BEARS --
GREAT DANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
UALBANY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (UAlbany)
Black BearsME (-3.5) 0 Great DanesUALB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Black Bears Cover

21.2%

Great Danes Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UALB -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UALB)

ME By 1-7 points

13.7%

ME By 8-14 points

4.8%

UALB By 1-7 points

25.3%

UALB By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
69
MAINE
77
UALBANY
Simulated Score
68
MAINE
71
UALBANY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Great Danes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Great Danes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Great Danes (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Great Danes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o130.5 Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u130.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 ME @ UALB 70 - 59
Jan 22, 2026 UALB @ ME 49 - 52
Feb 20, 2025 ME @ UALB 68 - 79
Jan 11, 2025 UALB @ ME 66 - 87
Mar 2, 2024 ME @ UALB 74 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +292.6% more
UAlbany: 4.2 vs Maine: 1.1
Rebounding (L5) +15.2% more
UAlbany: 32.0 vs Maine: 27.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +14.2%
UAlbany: 41.4% vs Maine: 27.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.1%
UAlbany: 49.0% vs Maine: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ME Score 69.0 70
UALB Score 77.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.4 / 27.3 25.0 / 45.0
Assists 11.6 / 11.2 11.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.2 / 1.1 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 42.9 48.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 72.2 / 68.5 67.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 27.8 32.0 / 19.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.1 4.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 11.4 17.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
UALB Advantage
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
UALB
11-18-0 (37.9%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -2.8
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UALB
ME
UALB
ME
ML
55% 17-14
45% 14-17
71% 22-9
52% 16-15
ATS
77% 24-7
55% 17-14
72% 23-9
52% 16-15
TTL
61% 19-12
55% 17-14
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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