NORTHERN COLORADO
BEARSUNCO
18-10 | Road
72
EASTERN WASHINGTON
EAGLESEWU
11-17 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
0%
EAGLES
100%
BEARS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
NORTHERN COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Northern Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNCO -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCO)
UNCO By 1-7 points
18.6%
UNCO By 8-14 points
26.8%
EWU By 1-7 points
6.8%
EWU By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Colorado
79
NORTHERN COLORADO
Eastern Washington
66
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Northern Colorado
70
NORTHERN COLORADO
Eastern Washington
78
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bears (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
UNCO @ EWU
72 - 82
Jan 31, 2026
EWU @ UNCO
71 - 74
Feb 20, 2025
EWU @ UNCO
76 - 95
Jan 25, 2025
UNCO @ EWU
67 - 62
Feb 24, 2024
EWU @ UNCO
85 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+48.1% more
Eastern Washington: 5.1
vs
Northern Colorado: 3.4
Turnovers (L5)
+16.5% more
Eastern Washington: 11.5
vs
Northern Colorado: 9.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Eastern Washington: 38.1%
vs
Northern Colorado: 32.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNCO Score
79.0
72
EWU Score
66.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 32.0
18.0 / 25.0
Assists
15.9 / 15.4
14.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.6 / 4.6
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
50.7 / 50.7
57.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 76.1
83.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 36.7
28.0 / 26.0
Steals
5.1 / 3.4
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 9.9
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCO
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: +0.5
EWU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCO
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: +0.5
EWU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.7
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EWU
UNCO
EWU
UNCO
ML
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
69%
22-10
66%
21-11
ATS
64%
21-12
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
66%
21-11
TTL
48%
16-17
50%
16-16
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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