Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Trailblazers ACU @ UTU

ABILENE CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSACU

13-14  |  Road

81
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 9:00 PM ET
Burns Arena
View Odds Details →

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

17-12  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
WILDCATS --
TRAILBLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Utah Tech)
WildcatsACU (-3.5) 0 TrailblazersUTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

3.6%

Trailblazers Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)

ACU By 1-7 points

2.7%

ACU By 8-14 points

0.5%

UTU By 1-7 points

10.7%

UTU By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
70
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
88
UTAH TECH
Simulated Score
75
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
68
UTAH TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Wildcats (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 ACU @ UTU 74 - 80
Feb 26, 2026 ACU @ UTU 81 - 85
Jan 29, 2026 UTU @ ACU 76 - 70
Jan 1, 2026 UTU @ ACU 79 - 64
Feb 22, 2025 UTU @ ACU 72 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +30.5% more
Utah Tech: 3.0 vs Abilene Christian: 2.3
Assists (L5) +19.9% more
Utah Tech: 13.9 vs Abilene Christian: 11.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.4%
Utah Tech: 37.4% vs Abilene Christian: 24.0%
Rebounding (L5) +9.6% more
Utah Tech: 34.6 vs Abilene Christian: 31.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ACU Score 70.0 81
UTU Score 88.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 24.0 42.0 / 32.0
Assists 13.9 / 11.6 17.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.3 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 44.9 61.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 75.5 / 68.2 73.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 31.6 29.0 / 26.0
Steals 5.2 / 12.0 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 15.6 12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ACU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
UTU Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ACU
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +1.4
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTU
ACU
UTU
ACU
ML
68% 23-11
67% 22-11
62% 21-13
70% 23-10
ATS
65% 22-12
55% 18-15
62% 21-13
70% 23-10
TTL
65% 22-12
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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