Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Anteaters @ Matadors UCI @ CSUN

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

18-10  |  Road

68
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 10:00 PM ET
Premier America Credit Union Arena
View Odds Details →

CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE

MATADORSCSUN

18-10  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
ANTEATERS
100%
📊
MATADORS
0%
ANTEATERS --
MATADORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Cal State Northridge)
AnteatersUCI (-3.5) 0 MatadorsCSUN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Anteaters Cover

38.2%

Matadors Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUN)

UCI By 1-7 points

21.6%

UCI By 8-14 points

10.7%

CSUN By 1-7 points

27.2%

CSUN By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
75
UC IRVINE
78
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Simulated Score
61
UC IRVINE
78
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Matadors Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Matadors Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Matadors (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Matadors (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 CSUN @ UCI 78 - 93
Feb 26, 2026 UCI @ CSUN 68 - 67
Dec 6, 2025 CSUN @ UCI 71 - 85
Feb 20, 2025 CSUN @ UCI 84 - 72
Jan 9, 2025 UCI @ CSUN 77 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +48.7% more
UC Irvine: 5.5 vs Cal State Northridge: 2.8
Turnovers (L5) +27.6% more
UC Irvine: 13.7 vs Cal State Northridge: 9.9
Free Throw % (L5) +9.2%
UC Irvine: 68.7% vs Cal State Northridge: 59.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.2%
UC Irvine: 38.8% vs Cal State Northridge: 35.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCI Score 75.0 68
CSUN Score 78.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 38.8 21.0 / 31.0
Assists 17.2 / 16.7 10.0 / 21.0
Blocks 2.8 / 5.5 6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 46.7 41.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 59.5 / 68.7 62.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 41.4 / 38.5 37.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.3 / 7.3 10.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 13.7 17.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCI Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
CSUN
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCI Advantage
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
CSUN
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
CSUN
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUN
UCI
CSUN
UCI
ML
58% 19-14
57% 20-15
67% 22-11
53% 18-16
ATS
58% 19-14
63% 22-13
67% 22-11
53% 18-16
TTL
58% 19-14
57% 20-15
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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