SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
JACKRABBITSSDST
13-16 | Road
73
KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
4-24 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
JACKRABBITS
0%
ROOS
100%
JACKRABBITS
--
ROOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (South Dakota State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SDST -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDST)
SDST By 1-7 points
15.3%
SDST By 8-14 points
25.3%
KC By 1-7 points
4.8%
KC By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
South Dakota State
77
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Kansas City
62
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
South Dakota State
69
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Kansas City
78
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jackrabbits
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roos
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jackrabbits (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Roos (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
SDST @ KC
73 - 59
Jan 17, 2026
KC @ SDST
62 - 90
Feb 23, 2025
KC @ SDST
65 - 70
Jan 23, 2025
SDST @ KC
65 - 64
Feb 15, 2024
SDST @ KC
67 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+23.5% more
South Dakota State: 16.0
vs
Kansas City: 12.2
Rebounding (L5)
+14.4% more
South Dakota State: 36.2
vs
Kansas City: 30.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.7%
South Dakota State: 77.4%
vs
Kansas City: 63.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.3%
South Dakota State: 38.8%
vs
Kansas City: 25.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SDST Score
77.0
73
KC Score
62.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.5 / 38.8
36.0 / 42.0
Assists
12.2 / 16.0
9.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.2 / 1.9
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.3 / 46.4
35.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
63.7 / 77.4
60.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 36.2
25.0 / 47.0
Steals
6.1 / 5.3
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 8.9
5.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDST
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDST
Advantage
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SDST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: 0.0
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
SDST
KC
SDST
ML
63%
19-11
75%
24-8
67%
20-10
53%
17-15
ATS
67%
20-10
78%
25-7
67%
20-10
53%
17-15
TTL
70%
21-9
53%
17-15
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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