Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Flames @ Owls LIB @ KENN

LIBERTY

FLAMESLIB

23-4  |  Road

65
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 7:00 PM ET
VyStar Arena
View Odds Details →

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

16-11  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
📊
OWLS
100%
FLAMES --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
LIBERTY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Liberty)
FlamesLIB (-3.5) 0 OwlsKENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

99.4%

Owls Cover

0.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIB -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIB)

LIB By 1-7 points

3.3%

LIB By 8-14 points

10.7%

KENN By 1-7 points

0.5%

KENN By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
86
LIBERTY
61
KENNESAW STATE
Simulated Score
60
LIBERTY
72
KENNESAW STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Owls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flames (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Owls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 LIB @ KENN 65 - 74
Jan 2, 2026 KENN @ LIB 73 - 81
Mar 14, 2025 KENN @ LIB 79 - 81
Mar 2, 2025 KENN @ LIB 85 - 80
Jan 30, 2025 LIB @ KENN 76 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +14.0% more
Liberty: 15.9 vs Kennesaw State: 13.7
Field Goal % (L5) +10.3%
Liberty: 52.4% vs Kennesaw State: 42.1%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.0%
Liberty: 67.4% vs Kennesaw State: 65.4%
Blocks (L5) +91.7% more
Kennesaw State: 5.8 vs Liberty: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIB Score 86.0 65
KENN Score 61.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 37.0 61.0 / 36.0
Assists 13.7 / 15.9 14.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.8 / 3.0 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 52.4 51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 65.4 / 67.4 58.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 25.7 32.0 / 21.0
Steals 7.3 / 6.7 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 10.8 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIB Advantage
26-8-0 (76.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
KENN
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIB
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
KENN Advantage
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +4.2
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENN
LIB
KENN
LIB
ML
74% 25-9
50% 17-17
72% 23-9
53% 18-16
ATS
71% 24-10
62% 21-13
73% 24-9
53% 18-16
TTL
56% 19-15
41% 14-20
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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