STETSON
HATTERSSTET
10-19 | Road
85
JACKSONVILLE
DOLPHINSJAX
10-19 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
100%
DOLPHINS
0%
HATTERS
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
JACKSONVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Jacksonville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JAX -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JAX)
STET By 1-7 points
21.6%
STET By 8-14 points
10.7%
JAX By 1-7 points
27.2%
JAX By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Stetson
66
STETSON
Jacksonville
69
JACKSONVILLE
Simulated Score
Stetson
71
STETSON
Jacksonville
75
JACKSONVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dolphins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
STET @ JAX
85 - 89
Feb 11, 2026
JAX @ STET
62 - 67
Feb 26, 2025
STET @ JAX
72 - 79
Feb 6, 2025
JAX @ STET
74 - 65
Mar 7, 2024
JAX @ STET
87 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.0% more
Jacksonville: 3.0
vs
Stetson: 2.1
Assists (L5)
+46.1% more
Stetson: 17.5
vs
Jacksonville: 9.4
Turnovers (L5)
+28.3% more
Stetson: 12.3
vs
Jacksonville: 8.8
Steals (L5)
+23.1% more
Stetson: 5.8
vs
Jacksonville: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STET Score
66.0
85
JAX Score
69.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.6 / 43.7
42.0 / 39.0
Assists
9.4 / 17.5
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.1
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 48.1
44.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 69.9
97.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
31.0 / 32.5
37.0 / 24.0
Steals
4.5 / 5.8
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
8.8 / 12.3
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
JAX
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
JAX
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JAX
STET
JAX
STET
ML
74%
23-8
55%
18-15
60%
18-12
73%
24-9
ATS
65%
20-11
64%
21-12
61%
19-12
73%
24-9
TTL
65%
20-11
61%
20-13
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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