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NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

28-28-2  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 7:00 PM ET
PPG Paints Arena
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

29-15-12  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Anthony Mantha
GOALTENDER

Anthony Mantha

#39 | Right Wing
@
Arturs Silovs
GOALTENDER

Arturs Silovs

#37 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Anthony Mantha None-None -- -- --
Arturs Silovs None-None 1.00 0.967 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.00
-- Save % 0.967
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
📊
PENGUINS
0%
DEVILS --
PENGUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Pittsburgh)
DevilsNJ (-3.5) 0 PenguinsPIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Devils Cover

6.7%

Penguins Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)

NJ By 1 goal

2.8%

NJ By 2-3 goals

1.2%

PIT By 1 goal

12.1%

PIT By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2
NEW JERSEY
5
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
2
NEW JERSEY
3
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Penguins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Penguins Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Penguins (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Penguins (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 PIT @ NJ 5 - 2
Feb 26, 2026 NJ @ PIT 1 - 4
Jan 8, 2026 NJ @ PIT 1 - 4
Nov 8, 2025 PIT @ NJ 1 - 2
Apr 11, 2025 PIT @ NJ 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +40.1% more
Pittsburgh: 6.2 vs New Jersey: 4.4
Shots on Goal (L5) +16.5% more
Pittsburgh: 30.5 vs New Jersey: 26.2
Hits (L5) +9.4% more
Pittsburgh: 21.3 vs New Jersey: 19.5
Faceoff % (L5) +1.9%
Pittsburgh: 46.3% vs New Jersey: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NJ Score 2.0 1
PIT Score 5.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
8%MONEY92%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
83%MONEY17%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
NJ
PIT
NJ
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-2-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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