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DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

33-19-6  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
View Odds Details →

OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

28-22-7  |  Home

1
Goaltending
John Gibson
GOALTENDER

John Gibson

#36 | Goaltender
@
Linus Ullmark
GOALTENDER

Linus Ullmark

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
John Gibson None-None 0.97 0.963 --
Linus Ullmark None-None 1.94 0.900 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.97 Ldr GAA 1.94
0.963 Ldr Save % 0.900
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
📊
SENATORS
0%
RED WINGS --
SENATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Ottawa)
Red WingsDET (-3.5) 0 SenatorsOTT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Wings Cover

2.3%

Senators Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)

DET By 1 goal

0.9%

DET By 2-3 goals

0.3%

OTT By 1 goal

6.6%

OTT By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
DETROIT
5
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
2
DETROIT
5
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Senators Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Senators Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Senators (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Senators (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 OTT @ DET 3 - 5
Mar 24, 2026 OTT @ DET 3 - 2
Feb 26, 2026 DET @ OTT 2 - 1
Jan 18, 2026 OTT @ DET 3 - 4
Jan 5, 2026 DET @ OTT 5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +43.6% more
Ottawa: 6.3 vs Detroit: 4.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +30.1% more
Ottawa: 15.6 vs Detroit: 12.0
Power Play % (L5) +11.5%
Ottawa: 22.5% vs Detroit: 11.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 1.0 2
OTT Score 5.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
90%MONEY10%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
DET
OTT
DET
ML
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
TTL
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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