Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Leopards @ Raiders LAF @ COLG

LAFAYETTE

LEOPARDSLAF

9-20  |  Road

70
FINAL
Wed, Feb 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Cotterell Court
View Odds Details →

COLGATE

RAIDERSCOLG

17-12  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
LEOPARDS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Colgate)
LeopardsLAF (-3.5) 0 RaidersCOLG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Leopards Cover

21.2%

Raiders Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLG -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)

LAF By 1-7 points

13.7%

LAF By 8-14 points

4.8%

COLG By 1-7 points

25.3%

COLG By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
60
LAFAYETTE
68
COLGATE
Simulated Score
62
LAFAYETTE
75
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 LAF @ COLG 70 - 69
Dec 31, 2025 COLG @ LAF 85 - 77
Feb 1, 2025 LAF @ COLG 76 - 61
Jan 18, 2025 COLG @ LAF 90 - 67
Feb 19, 2024 COLG @ LAF 67 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +115.1% more
Colgate: 4.0 vs Lafayette: 1.9
Rebounding (L5) +23.6% more
Colgate: 36.5 vs Lafayette: 29.5
Free Throw % (L5) +13.9%
Colgate: 81.6% vs Lafayette: 67.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.8%
Colgate: 36.2% vs Lafayette: 26.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAF Score 60.0 70
COLG Score 68.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 26.4 38.0 / 27.0
Assists 13.7 / 14.4 18.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.0 / 1.9 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 47.6 46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 81.6 / 67.7 79.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 36.5 / 29.5 34.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.2 / 4.9 2.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 9.8 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
40%MONEY60%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAF
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
COLG Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAF Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
COLG
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.0
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
LAF
COLG
LAF
ML
59% 19-13
53% 17-15
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
ATS
72% 23-9
56% 18-14
70% 23-10
59% 19-13
TTL
78% 25-7
50% 16-16
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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