SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
41-16 | Road
110
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
34-24 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
RAPTORS
100%
SPURS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
10.7%
SA By 8-14 points
21.6%
TOR By 1-7 points
2.7%
TOR By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
116
SAN ANTONIO
Toronto
98
TORONTO
Simulated Score
San Antonio
112
SAN ANTONIO
Toronto
118
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u229.5
Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim
u229.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
SA @ TOR
110 - 107
Oct 27, 2025
TOR @ SA
103 - 121
Apr 13, 2025
TOR @ SA
118 - 125
Mar 23, 2025
SA @ TOR
123 - 89
Feb 12, 2024
SA @ TOR
122 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.6% more
San Antonio: 8.3
vs
Toronto: 5.8
Rebounding (L5)
+17.2% more
San Antonio: 48.7
vs
Toronto: 40.4
Turnovers (L5)
+9.3% more
San Antonio: 15.0
vs
Toronto: 13.6
Assists (L5)
+9.1% more
San Antonio: 32.0
vs
Toronto: 29.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
116.0
110
TOR Score
98.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.4 / 38.6
35.0 / 44.0
Assists
29.0 / 32.0
17.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.8 / 8.3
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 49.3
42.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 75.2
85.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 48.7
50.0 / 40.0
Steals
10.5 / 7.1
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 15.0
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
TOR
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
SA
TOR
SA
ML
55%
57-47
60%
111-73
55%
48-39
58%
61-44
ATS
61%
62-40-2
58%
107-76-1
55%
48-39
58%
61-44
TTL
60%
62-42
74%
134-47-3
100%
87-0
100%
105-0
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