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LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

18-11  |  Road

77
FINAL
Wed, Feb 25 • 7:00 PM ET
The Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST GEORGIA

WOLVESWGA

12-16  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
0%
📊
WOLVES
100%
BISONS --
WOLVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Lipscomb)
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 WolvesWGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

86.4%

Wolves Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIP -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)

LIP By 1-7 points

21.6%

LIP By 8-14 points

27.4%

WGA By 1-7 points

9.3%

WGA By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
80
LIPSCOMB
69
WEST GEORGIA
Simulated Score
78
LIPSCOMB
70
WEST GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bisons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bisons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bisons (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Bisons (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 LIP @ WGA 77 - 84
Feb 5, 2025 LIP @ WGA 76 - 67
Jan 11, 2025 WGA @ LIP 67 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +27.3% more
Lipscomb: 17.9 vs West Georgia: 13.0
Steals (L5) +10.8% more
Lipscomb: 6.1 vs West Georgia: 5.4
Turnovers (L5) +9.6% more
Lipscomb: 11.7 vs West Georgia: 10.6
Free Throw % (L5) +8.0%
Lipscomb: 73.0% vs West Georgia: 64.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 80.0 77
WGA Score 69.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 38.0 33.0 / 21.0
Assists 13.0 / 17.9 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.4 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 50.2 57.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 64.9 / 73.0 44.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 32.8 32.0 / 39.0
Steals 5.4 / 6.1 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 11.7 7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
WGA
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
WGA Advantage
21-9-0 (70.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WGA
LIP
WGA
LIP
ML
58% 18-13
71% 22-9
61% 19-12
66% 19-10
ATS
71% 22-9
71% 22-9
61% 19-12
66% 19-10
TTL
55% 17-14
58% 18-13
100% 31-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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