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BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

32-19-6  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, Feb 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

28-27-2  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
GOALTENDER

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

#1 | Goaltender
@
Jake Allen
GOALTENDER

Jake Allen

#34 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen None-None 1.00 0.964 --
Jake Allen None-None 2.12 0.933 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 2.12
0.964 Ldr Save % 0.933
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
0%
📊
DEVILS
100%
SABRES --
DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
SabresBUF (-3.5) 0 DevilsNJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sabres Cover

30.9%

Devils Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NJ +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)

BUF By 1 goal

19.7%

BUF By 2-3 goals

29.6%

NJ By 1 goal

12.1%

NJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BUFFALO
2
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
2
BUFFALO
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sabres Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Devils Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Devils (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Devils (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 BUF @ NJ 2 - 1
Dec 21, 2025 BUF @ NJ 3 - 1
Nov 28, 2025 NJ @ BUF 5 - 0
Feb 2, 2025 NJ @ BUF 3 - 4
Oct 5, 2024 BUF @ NJ 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +18.2%
Buffalo: 26.3% vs New Jersey: 8.1%
Takeaways (L5) +9.0% more
Buffalo: 5.1 vs New Jersey: 4.7
Faceoff % (L5) +3.7%
Buffalo: 48.1% vs New Jersey: 44.4%
Blocked Shots (L5) +9.5% more
New Jersey: 13.3 vs Buffalo: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 3.0 2
NJ Score 2.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
27%MONEY73%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
BUF
NJ
BUF
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
TTL
0% 0-2-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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