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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

28-22-8  |  Road

5
FINAL
Wed, Feb 25 • 10:30 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

30-23-3  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Tristan Jarry
GOALTENDER

Tristan Jarry

#35 | Goaltender
@
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Tristan Jarry None-None 6.43 0.800 --
Lukas Dostal None-None 5.00 0.815 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.43 GAA Ldr 5.00
0.800 Save % Ldr 0.815
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
DUCKS
100%
OILERS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

97.7%

Ducks Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

6.6%

EDM By 2-3 goals

29.6%

ANA By 1 goal

0.9%

ANA By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
EDMONTON
1
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
5
EDMONTON
2
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Oilers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u7.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 7, 2026 EDM @ ANA 5 - 2
Apr 30, 2026 EDM @ ANA 2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026 ANA @ EDM 1 - 4
Apr 24, 2026 EDM @ ANA 4 - 7
Apr 22, 2026 ANA @ EDM 6 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +20.9% more
Edmonton: 36.9 vs Anaheim: 29.2
Faceoff % (L5) +6.6%
Edmonton: 54.1% vs Anaheim: 47.4%
Hits (L5) +48.3% more
Anaheim: 22.2 vs Edmonton: 15.0
Blocked Shots (L5) +32.4% more
Anaheim: 14.6 vs Edmonton: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 5.0 5
ANA Score 1.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
94%MONEY6%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
EDM
ANA
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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