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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

22-26-8  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Feb 25 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

18-33-6  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Dylan Samberg
GOALTENDER

Dylan Samberg

#54 | Defense
@
Nikita Tolopilo
GOALTENDER

Nikita Tolopilo

#60 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dylan Samberg None-None -- -- --
Nikita Tolopilo None-None 2.94 0.893 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.94
-- Save % 0.893
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
📊
CANUCKS
100%
JETS --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Winnipeg)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

84.1%

Canucks Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

WPG By 1 goal

17.5%

WPG By 2-3 goals

37.2%

VAN By 1 goal

6.6%

VAN By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
WINNIPEG
1
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
3
WINNIPEG
5
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canucks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jets (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Canucks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 VAN @ WPG 2 - 3
Feb 25, 2026 WPG @ VAN 3 - 2
Nov 11, 2025 WPG @ VAN 5 - 3
Mar 30, 2025 VAN @ WPG 1 - 3
Mar 18, 2025 WPG @ VAN 2 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +15.5%
Winnipeg: 17.6% vs Vancouver: 2.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.7% more
Winnipeg: 28.6 vs Vancouver: 25.2
Hits (L5) +8.2% more
Winnipeg: 21.1 vs Vancouver: 19.4
Takeaways (L5) +103.1% more
Vancouver: 5.3 vs Winnipeg: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 3.0 3
VAN Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
28%MONEY72%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
WPG
VAN
WPG
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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