NAVY
MIDSHIPMENNAVY
23-6 | Road
78
LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
11-18 | Home
51
AI Model Win Probability
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
GREYHOUNDS
100%
MIDSHIPMEN
--
GREYHOUNDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NAVY -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
NAVY By 1-7 points
20.1%
NAVY By 8-14 points
27.2%
L-MD By 1-7 points
8.0%
L-MD By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Navy
82
NAVY
Loyola Maryland
70
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Navy
63
NAVY
Loyola Maryland
70
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Midshipmen
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Greyhounds
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Midshipmen (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Greyhounds (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
NAVY @ L-MD
78 - 51
Jan 31, 2026
L-MD @ NAVY
71 - 87
Mar 1, 2025
L-MD @ NAVY
68 - 81
Jan 11, 2025
NAVY @ L-MD
74 - 75
Mar 5, 2024
L-MD @ NAVY
48 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+43.0% more
Navy: 8.6
vs
Loyola Maryland: 4.9
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
Navy: 17.5
vs
Loyola Maryland: 13.9
Turnovers (L5)
+20.1% more
Navy: 10.6
vs
Loyola Maryland: 8.5
Blocks (L5)
+9.5% more
Navy: 4.0
vs
Loyola Maryland: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NAVY Score
82.0
78
L-MD Score
70.0
51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 39.7
22.0 / 45.0
Assists
13.9 / 17.5
9.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.0
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 48.4
32.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 77.7
57.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 37.3
32.0 / 39.0
Steals
4.9 / 8.6
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.5 / 10.6
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
L-MD
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
L-MD
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
L-MD
NAVY
L-MD
NAVY
ML
53%
17-15
79%
26-7
66%
21-11
55%
18-15
ATS
56%
18-14
73%
24-9
66%
21-11
55%
18-15
TTL
44%
14-18
73%
24-9
100%
32-0
100%
33-0