DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
14-13 | Road
72
CREIGHTON
BLUEJAYSCREI
14-14 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEMONS
0%
BLUEJAYS
100%
BLUE DEMONS
--
BLUEJAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (DePaul)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEP -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)
DEP By 1-7 points
24.3%
DEP By 8-14 points
26.8%
CREI By 1-7 points
12.2%
CREI By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
DePaul
76
DEPAUL
Creighton
67
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
DePaul
61
DEPAUL
Creighton
82
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Demons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bluejays
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Demons (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bluejays (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
DEP @ CREI
72 - 71
Feb 11, 2026
CREI @ DEP
71 - 72
Mar 13, 2025
DEP @ CREI
81 - 85
Feb 26, 2025
DEP @ CREI
65 - 75
Jan 21, 2025
CREI @ DEP
73 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+27.3% more
DePaul: 7.6
vs
Creighton: 5.5
Assists (L5)
+9.8% more
DePaul: 14.5
vs
Creighton: 13.0
Blocks (L5)
+8.8% more
DePaul: 2.5
vs
Creighton: 2.3
Turnovers (L5)
+27.1% more
Creighton: 13.4
vs
DePaul: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEP Score
76.0
72
CREI Score
67.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 26.7
40.0 / 50.0
Assists
13.0 / 14.5
14.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.5
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 42.2
45.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
71.5 / 59.8
85.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 31.9
32.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.5 / 7.6
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 10.5
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEP
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
CREI
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEP
Advantage
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
DEP
CREI
DEP
ML
52%
17-16
59%
19-13
70%
21-9
80%
24-6
ATS
58%
19-14
50%
16-16
70%
21-9
80%
24-6
TTL
52%
17-16
53%
17-15
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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