DETROIT MERCY
TITANSDETM
14-13 | Road
62
ROBERT MORRIS
COLONIALSRMU
19-10 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
COLONIALS
100%
TITANS
--
COLONIALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DETM -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)
DETM By 1-7 points
25.3%
DETM By 8-14 points
26.2%
RMU By 1-7 points
13.7%
RMU By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit Mercy
87
DETROIT MERCY
Robert Morris
79
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
Detroit Mercy
68
DETROIT MERCY
Robert Morris
72
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Titans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonials
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Titans (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Colonials (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
DETM @ RMU
70 - 64
Feb 25, 2026
DETM @ RMU
62 - 73
Jan 2, 2026
RMU @ DETM
85 - 77
Feb 5, 2025
DETM @ RMU
56 - 71
Jan 2, 2025
RMU @ DETM
76 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.4% more
Detroit Mercy: 4.0
vs
Robert Morris: 2.8
Steals (L5)
+23.2% more
Detroit Mercy: 7.1
vs
Robert Morris: 5.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.4%
Detroit Mercy: 85.4%
vs
Robert Morris: 71.1%
Assists (L5)
+54.1% more
Robert Morris: 18.4
vs
Detroit Mercy: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DETM Score
87.0
62
RMU Score
79.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.0 / 41.3
36.0 / 25.0
Assists
18.4 / 11.9
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.0
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
52.3 / 47.0
38.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 85.4
77.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 34.7
39.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.5 / 7.1
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 10.7
6.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
RMU
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
DETM
RMU
DETM
ML
36%
12-21
58%
18-13
56%
18-14
50%
15-15
ATS
55%
18-15
61%
19-12
56%
18-14
50%
15-15
TTL
55%
18-15
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
