WOFFORD
TERRIERSWOF
18-11 | Road
72
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
BUCCANEERSETSU
21-8 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
BUCCANEERS
0%
TERRIERS
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (East Tennessee State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ETSU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ETSU)
WOF By 1-7 points
8.0%
WOF By 8-14 points
2.2%
ETSU By 1-7 points
20.1%
ETSU By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Wofford
76
WOFFORD
East Tennessee State
88
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Simulated Score
Wofford
70
WOFFORD
East Tennessee State
78
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buccaneers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Buccaneers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
WOF @ ETSU
72 - 69
Feb 1, 2026
ETSU @ WOF
86 - 72
Mar 8, 2025
WOF @ ETSU
72 - 60
Feb 22, 2025
ETSU @ WOF
73 - 68
Jan 4, 2025
WOF @ ETSU
81 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+44.9% more
East Tennessee State: 7.6
vs
Wofford: 5.2
Turnovers (L5)
+25.8% more
East Tennessee State: 10.8
vs
Wofford: 8.6
Blocks (L5)
+15.3% more
East Tennessee State: 2.9
vs
Wofford: 2.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.9%
East Tennessee State: 80.0%
vs
Wofford: 66.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WOF Score
76.0
72
ETSU Score
88.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.0 / 32.6
15.0 / 30.0
Assists
13.9 / 13.5
13.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.5
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.8 / 47.1
53.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
80.0 / 66.1
59.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 32.5
35.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.6 / 5.2
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 8.6
12.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
ETSU
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
ETSU
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
ETSU
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ETSU
WOF
ETSU
WOF
ML
42%
14-19
39%
12-19
70%
23-10
61%
19-12
ATS
58%
19-14
58%
18-13
70%
23-10
61%
19-12
TTL
45%
15-18
65%
20-11
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
